Home Australia A Resolution of the Taiwan Issue Looks Increasingly Imminent

A Resolution of the Taiwan Issue Looks Increasingly Imminent

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(R) Chinese military planes

By James O’Neill*

In 1949 when the Communist Party succeeded in the Civil War in China the nationalist regime fled to the island then called Formosa. They did not, however, forsake their seat on the United Nations Security Council and continue to represent China in that body until 1972. This history is too readily forgotten in the current discussion about the status of Taiwan (as Formosa is now known). The president of Taiwan loudly proclaims the island’s independence and calls upon other countries, including Australia, to defend that independence when the Beijing government finally exercises its claim to Taiwan as a legitimate part of the PRC.

Completely forgotten in the current climate by the Taiwanese regime is their own history of claiming to represent China. How convenient it is to disregard their own history when it no longer suits them.

In recent days the government in Beijing has flown ever-larger numbers of military aircraft in what Taiwan claims to be its own zone of interest. The big question exercising the minds of both the government in Taiwan and their purported allies is whether these exercises by the mainland presage an invasion.

What is also exercising the minds of the Chinese government is whether or not recent United States moves represent a change in Washington’s official one-China policy. The Americans have in recent weeks taken several measures that cast doubt on their “one China” stance.  These moves include upgrading the status of the Taiwan representation in Washington and perhaps more alarmingly, increasing by a significant amount the level of military assistance to the Taiwan regime.

This has also been accompanied by several belligerent remarks by American officials about their determination to “defend” Taiwan’s rights to a separate existence. These moves collectively represent a significant move away from the United States’ stance of recognising the Chinese government as the legitimate ruler of the Chinese people.

Understandably, this change in the United States rhetoric has been alarming to the government in Beijing. There was a recent telephone discussion between the United States and Chinese presidents, although it is not known what, if any, agreements were reached. The upgrading of Chinese military flights subsequent to that telephone conversation strongly suggests that the Americans have not been willing to acknowledge China’s concerns.

The deteriorating situation in the region has led many commentators to openly speculate on the possibility of the situation deteriorating to the point where there is an actual military conflict between the United States and China, and what the outcome of that conflict might be.

If such a conflict remained conventional, i.e. non-nuclear, the consensus appears to be that China would be the winner. They have the advantage of a massive military presence, and the decided advantage of fighting in their own territory. The American psyche is unlikely to accept a conventional military defeat, although to be brutally frank they have had lots of experience in recent years of being on the losing side, with Afghanistan being only the latest example.

The real concern is that of the American mindset. They are acutely aware that they are being outgunned in the economic warfare they have waged against China. China, in terms of parity purchasing power, is now the world’s largest economy, although they persist in referring to themselves only as “number two” in the world.

Perhaps more alarmingly for the Americans, the Chinese are successfully developing an economic trading structure that dwarfs the western efforts. More than 140 countries (3/4 of the total in the world) have signed up to China’s Belt and Road Initiative and that is only one of several such Chinese moves to be the most important of the world’s trading partners.

There was a recent meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation which now has nine permanent members with the recent accession of Iran to full membership. There are several associate member countries, including of particular interest, Saudi Arabia, which is quietly making moves to improve its relationship with Iran.

As recently as this week, the United States government made a request to China to cease its economic relationship with Iran.  Unsurprisingly, the Chinese refused. What was interesting about the request however, was that it was even made. As difficult as it may be to accept, that the Americans are so out of touch with the political realities that they would even make such a request is quite astonishing. Much less believing that it had the remotest chance of being accepted.

What it does do is highlight the extent to which the world is changing and not in a matter likely to find favour with the Americans. In this writer’s view that is clearly represented by the recent purported formation of the so-called Quad of nations, including Australia, Japan, India and United States.

Some western writers seek to portray this group as an anti-China alliance, but I look at its membership as strongly suggesting that such a formulation is another example of United States dreaming of an anti-China alliance. In fact, China is the largest trading partner of Australia, India and Japan and it is frankly improbable that any of those three would wish to jeopardise their lucrative trading relationship with the People’s Republic.

India is also a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, having joined in 2017, and despite some border disputes with China, the latter became its largest trading partner in 2020. Economic self-interest is usually an excellent guide to political conduct, and China’s economic importance to all three countries is likely to be a dominant factor in determining actual relationships.

None of the three have expressed any particular views about the status of Taiwan, preferring to regarded it as fundamentally a Chinese internal matter. Certainly, none of them have indicated a willingness to go to war with China over the matter. The Taiwanese foreign minister recently made a plea for Australian support in its conflict with the PRC. Australians listened politely, but they are not so stupid as to risk the relationship with the PRC over Taiwan’s claimed independence.

The Chinese government has expressed the wish that Taiwan returns to the mainland in time for the 2049 Centenary celebrations of the People’s Republic. China is in my opinion highly unlikely to wait that long, and the military moves of the past week strongly suggest that a denouement is imminent.

*Geopolitical analyst.  He may be contacted at jamesoneill83@icloud.com

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64 COMMENTS

  1. Thanks as always, James – appreciated

    The Military Industrial Complex & War Propaganda – Panel Excerpt

    Daniel Dumbrill is sincere but does not get everything right all the time – like yourself (as well as Dee, Mary et al) he is to be commended but producing articles for discussion. I left a comment that will probably get removed – after all yewtube is really just a hotbed of antihuman hate masquerading as ‘social’ media.

    I am familiar with Eisenhower’s parting speech

    but feel that it is somewhat disingenuous – just like Huxley’s and Orwell’s ‘warnings’ about Soma and Big Brother, and Clarke’s ‘concerns’ about the destruction of five nations in seven years

    • Eisenhower Murdered Over One Million German Soldiers After The War Thomas Goodrich Enhanced Video

    https://www.bitchute.com/video/AHREalnKXcar/

    • Eisenhower’s Holocaust – his Slaughter Of 1.7 Million Germans
    https://archive.org/details/EisenhowersHolocausthisSlaughterOf1.7MillionGermans

    • Eisenhower’s Starvation Order
    http://www.renegadetribune.com/eisenhowers-starvation-order/

    • Eisenhower’s Death Camps – James Bacque
    https://archive.org/details/EisenhowersDeathCamps_201502

  3. Justin,
    thank you for very observant comment two articles back. 160,000 immigrants coming here past year during lockdown. Wonder how many of those are CCP and why their children studying here are exempt from jab mandates?

    • The CCP can infiltrate, there is already hardly anything here to infiltrate !!! Mostly sleepwalking bogans. I have to give the French some credit, did anyone miss this peasant army video previously posted by MM, my latest favourite video. I wonder how young Macaron is enjoying this. All of a sudden, and finally, I realise I want to be French. Not for the camaraderie, I am interested in the outcome. Any single French women out there I can marry to get a visa, preferably living somewhere around the Swiss border, please make yourself known. The sheeple here don’t seem to be results driven, they are dull, torpid, inert, self-obsessed and willingly manipulated. They have no history to look back on and nothing to learn from. Their only known freedom-fighting martyrs, the Kellys, reduced to a “gang”.

      • “The sheeple here don’t seem to be results driven, they are dull, torpid, inert, self-obsessed and willingly manipulated. They have no history to look back on and nothing to learn from. Their only known freedom-fighting martyrs, the Kellys, reduced to a “gang”.

        I just got back from being off the mountain. Went into the ‘moronosphere’ and spent most of it without a mask. There were only a few of us that were maskless, around 1%;

        My attitude to the sheeple has taken another hit. I no longer disrespect them, I despise them. I think I must have been an ‘elite’ in another life. I fully understand why a portion of humanity that has accumulated great wealth and power would want to dispose of a bunch of ‘useless eaters’. It is shocking to watch a bunch of mouth breathers trying to breath through a mask, dutifully stopping to pay homage to a QR code.

        My wife was getting angry at me as every time I stopped before a QR code I’d pull out my ‘flip phone’ and make some different sounds, like Baa, Baaa, or, Moo, Moooo, Cluck, cluck, cluck, etc. she finally flipped out and told me not to do it anymore – took some of the fun out of the day.

        I should have the greenhouse on the way next week. Maybe then I can reduce my visits to the establishment food markets…

      • Tradition a beautiful thing, early years of youth in the med, was fascinating to observe differing dialects (even languages) from hamlet to hamlet even 5 or 6 k’s away. Tv changed everything, now most sound like their idols.

  4. James,
    Thank you for many articles here, always read them.
    With respect, rivalry of ‘east and west’, past century, was always good for collectors profiting from all sides. Unfortunately, the ‘west’ has been used up. New kid on the block is CCP, the 21st century is krown kabal komunizm injecting all for trancehuman 2.0.
    A pagan occult of all creeds and races Wellcome, with one exception being the teachings of Jesus Christ – with two universal laws simple and true. Any system based on lies, blood and murder of innocents is false.

    • ant56, what has China to do with the agenda to wipe out Christianity?

      The anti-Christian – Synagogue of Satan Rev. 2:9 & 3:9 Jews, the manufacturers of the Covid vaccines, crucified Christ.

      The so called Jews hate Christianity yet use the Bible to make their false claims –

      The Jews are of Esau from Idumea, and therefore not of Israel or Judah; Jewish Encyclopedia, 1925, vol. 5, page 41.

      The END of this “AGE” – The New World Order! It is the EDOMITE JEWS who are bringing the N.W.O. about!

      Esdras 6:9 …”For Esau is the end of this age, and Jacob is the beginning of the age that follows”…

      • Criss,
        Please don’t misunderstand me, Chinese people are mostly good with strong traditional family values, like all races. The global problem for all humanity is paganism.
        Zionists push communism, many good Jews are opposed to this oppressive tyrannical rule by oligarchs. At the centre, one hundred and fifty employing the 10% dependant on the tit.

  5. The “Mark of the Beast”

    Who or what is the beast? Strongs Concordance 2342 describes it as a venomous dangerous animal.

    “Mark“ Strongs concordance 5482 to sharpen to a point

    Why does the Jewish pharmaceutical industry symbolise itself with serpents slithering up a pole?

    “Virus: [L(atin) ‘slimy liquid, poison…] 1. venom such as emitted by a poisonous animal.”

    Revelation 13:17 “And that no man might buy or sell, save he that had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his name.”

    THE PROTOCOLS OF THE LEARNED ELDERS OF ZION

    PROTOCOL No. 3
    1. To-day I may tell you that our goal is now only a few steps off. There remains a small space to cross and the whole long path we have trodden is ready now to close its cycle of the Symbolic Snake, by which we symbolize our people. When this ring closes, all the States of Europe will be locked in its coil as in a powerful vice.

    https://myshakespeare.com/hamlet/act-1-scene-5-video-note-serpent
    When the ghost claims that “the serpent that did sting thy father’s life now wears his crown.”

    It seems that in the not too distant future someone else is going to have to do my shopping.

    Jeremiah’s watery ending of Babylon (Las Palmas volcano?) could be symbolised in the Wizard of Oz?
    .
    Jer.51 42 “The sea has come up over Babylon; she is covered with the multitude of its waves.” [In the Wizard of Oz the wicked witch of the west is “liquidated” by Dorothy throwing a bucket of water over her.]

    The Satanists know the Bible much better than most Christians.

  6. On topic, a Chinese government in exile in Taiwan (1947-72) does not make Taiwan part of China. The Dali Lama is also in exile somewhere, that doesn’t make “somewhere” part of Tibet. Chiangkai Shek was allowed to colonise Formosa which was part of the Japanese Empire therefore under US jurisdiction. As for Afghanistan, that was never a war in any sense of the word, it was a mafia occupation, the global mafias have made other arrangements by now, probably commencing several years ago. It all extends outward from the old drug empires. The business deals and arrangements must be very extensive and the only major role Biden really seems to have in it is getting a commission on giving the equipment to the CCP. It seems the guy would sell his mother. What has he been up to in his spare time, that he does exactly as he is told. Stumbling, mumbling, bumbling,seems he is just the idiot they want. We used to have a premier here in Queensland who could talk mumbo-jumbo all day, Biden is not at that level, but still, he is fully owned.
    Taiwan is well protected by virtue of the chip factory there. They are/were also the word’s biggest maker of electric motors. Also used to do HCQ before the arson last year. Afghanistan was controlled by the US army but it seems Mr Global preferred the UN having that job, for better political stability I guess. The UN army and associated mercenaries probably funded through some Swiss entity.
    Why would there be a hot war between the US and China over Taiwan ? Everything would get smashed. The blunt instrument isn’t there to actually be used. They’ll play all sorts of tricks on each other instead.

    • North Korea was going to destroy us a couple of years ago, but interesting to hear from PCR, they must be getting edgy in the US, they can see the place falling apart, but the military isn’t, and they have just sucked all the submarine money out of Australia, and the F35 jet money before that. The CCP may send its troops to Taiwan to die because the CCP considers them UTTERLY expendable ants.

  10. Have we not learnt that control freaks just want to go invade someone, they think they have the biggest dick in the world.
    So it is just a contest to see who has the biggest dick in the world, massaged by bankers who convince their bum boys that they are the biggest Dickiss’ in the world, who do not realise, that they really have small, but useful dicks, for the controlling dicks.

  14. At 17 we were all rebels, now older romantics yearning for a time passed (full circle), misfits in the new artificial!
    All the best good friends in opposing the BS.

  15. James,
    You’re right, CCP pay way through generously for conquest without war (at the expense of blood sweat and tears of their 90% workers, similar to our usury system), behind other fence, military industrial complex of 147 corporations destroying everything breathing to control what remains.
    “Military madness killing”… all countries.

    • India is trying to collaborate to resist “Chinese hegemony” according to the NHK (Japanese) news this morning ( “Quad” countries )

  16. Taiwan is part of China, says Russia

    According to Russian news agency Interfax, Foreign Minister Lavrov of Russia said on Tuesday that Taiwan is part of China.

    According to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s policy toward Taiwan stems from the island’s ownership.

    “Just like the overwhelming majority of other countries, Russia views Taiwan as part of the People’s Republic of China. This is the premise we proceed from and will continue to proceed from in our policy,” Russian Foreign Minister told reporters.

    Sergei Lavrov’s remarks are the clearest indication that Russia, led by Vladimir Putin, would likely support China’s takeover of Taiwan.

    https://inside rpaper.com/taiwan-is-part-of-china-says-russia/

    North Korea vows to strengthen relations with Russia
    October 12, 2021 3 days ago
    Polina Tikhonova

    Kim “is always paying deep attention to the development of the North Korea-Russia relations and is opening up a new development in the bilateral relations as required by the new era,” the Ministry said in a statement released on its website.

    “Even in the face of adverse environment caused by the global pandemic and the vicissitudes of international situation, the DPRK and the Russian Federation are … continuously strengthening strategic cooperation with regard to the issue of bilateral relations and other international issues.”

    https://inside rpaper.com/north-korea-vows-to-strengthen-relations-with-russia/

    • If Biden had anything to do with it he would have sold the Taiwanese chip factory to the CCP already, but probably the US military is overseeing it, in that case if Russia decides to back the CCP with more than words, the US army would presumably blow up the chip factory before letting it go, and then the CCP wouldn’t get anything, just an island full of angry people.

  17. Jahoo! News Informs the Stupid Peasants Why the US Needs to Go to War to Protect China from China

    https://dailystormer.su/yahoo-news-informs-the-stupid-peasants-why-the-us-needs-to-go-to-war-to-protect-taiwan/

    Summary of headlines:
    • A firm commitment to defend Taiwan is the best way to prevent an invasion – Washington Post
    • The U.S. must accept it has nothing to gain from defending Taiwan – Guardian
    • The U.S. should maintain its noncommittal position as long as it can – National Review
    • Taiwan is too important to U.S. interests to let it be taken by the Chinese – Bloomberg
    • War with China would pose an existential threat to the U.S. – NBC News
    • America has a duty to protect the free world from authoritarianism – Foreign Policy
    • The U.S. also has diplomatic tools to deter China from invading – The Hill
    • The best way to defend Taiwan is through investment, not military threats – NPR

        • Poor Madonna and the other egomaniacs, so lonely.
          They are frustrated, on the pills, they have trouble reconciling themselves with the knowledge that they are replaceable,
          I guess the pharaohs had the same issues when they became gods.

          • Don’t you see, Swissy sits there on all the gold, NEUTRAL, while everyone else destroys each other. It’s just so obvious but everyone is so busy squabbling they can’t see.

          • The Jewish Encyclopedia tells us that “Edom is in Modern Jewry”. This witness from the 1905 edition records the connection between modern day Jews and the race of Edom: “Some anthropologists are inclined to associate the racial origins of the Jews, not with the Semites, whose language they adopted, but with the Armenians and Hittites of Mesopotamia, whose broad skulls and curved noses they appear to have inherited (Vol. X, p. 284). Thus Esau/Edom was now absorbed into the Canaanite people by means of his Hittite and Hivite wives. According to Strong’s Concordance the word Canaan means “trader or merchant” and the Phoenicians, as Canaanites, are derived from Ham’s incestuous relationship with Naamah the sister of Tubalcain, the wife Noah took with him in the Ark (Genesis 9:18-27; 10:6, 15-1.

  18. I’m only part way through this (20 minutes) but very informative from three very well informed analysts Daniel Dumbrill, Brian Berletic and Carl Zha

    Reaction to Kim Iversen’s “Is The Military Industrial Complex Teeing Up WW3 With China” video aired on “The Hill”

    • Socialism only works if someone else does all the innovation, R&D etc. These socialists (in the unlistenable video) may admire the “CCP miracle” but the CCP got all it’s intellectual property from other countries. Now the CCP has been fully infiltrated, just as the German National Socialists were fully infiltrated by their many elites, hailing from all the kingdoms which existed before Bismark. That’s apparently how National Socialism morphed into fascism, keeping its puppet leader, on drugs they say. How long did real German socialism last, maybe a few years I guess, ended with the invasion of Czech., because that’s not socialism, that’s empire building. Real socialism would be a utopia for would-be intellectuals, but in practice the only thing invented under the CCP was the sushi train. Just joking that was Japanese. China burned its navy 500 years ago, but now it wants the territories back. It’s as whacky as Zionism. How can you flourish if you close borders and burn your navy. The Greeks got ahead of Europe because they could sail across the Caspian Sea to Asia. If they just stayed on their island they wouldn’t learn much. Socialism is just an unworkable dream. China isn’t even socialist anyway, it’s just another Asian dictatorship.
      Now in Australia we have closed borders, dictatorships and socialist “free money”.

    • China keeps stuffing up and it probably comes down to mostly reckless haste and “saving face”. They’re also excessively racist which is to their own detriment not anyone else’s.
      I don’t know enough about Chinese history but there were plenty of wars, refugees and xenophobia, they burned their navy 500 years ago out of sheer paranoia, then they let everyone become opium addicts, then they kicked out all the foreigners during an event called “Boxer Rebellion”, they forked into Chiangkai Shek and Chairman Mao with all the death orgies, they went into massive overreach with one-belt-road, presently unwinding, I can’t see it ending well for the CCP, they suffer from hubris, but with the very capable help of Russia they should at least manage to keep their more recent acquisitions such as Tibet.

  20. Russians are in total awe at the suicidal stupidity of the West
    Posted on October 17, 2021 by fada1

    “……….I will stop here, but I want to stress that Putin and plenty of Russian analysts are saying: the consolidated West is so totally out of touch with reality that it is, in essence, committing suicide. Putin and others have also said the following many times already: “we don’t need to do anything, nothing, just watch how the West self-destructs“.

    https://uprootedpalestinians.wordpress.com/2021/10/17/russians-are-in-total-awe-at-the-suicidal-stupidity-of-the-west/

    • It’s true but at the same time look at the Roman empire, it morphed without ever really going away. USD hegemony is being challenged regularly now and internally the Federal Reserve Note looks like being challenged. This hegemony is at the root of the “global policeman” tag.

  21. Kim Iverson – gutsy stuff here – the look on the faces of co-presenters Emily Jashinsky and Ryan Grim at 7:00 is priceless.

    Emily Jashinsky – 7:12 – “two things can be true at the same time” [FOB]

    • Kim Iversen: Is The Military Industrial Complex Teeing Up WWIII With China, Taiwan Conflict?

    Here is a great reaction discussion with Daniel Dumbrill, Brian Berletic and Carl Zha

    • Reaction Video – Kim Iversen’s WW3 piece on The Hill

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